It’s looking like where I am at, which is just a little south of Raleigh, NC, may be getting 4-8 inches of snow according to some reports I have been seeing. It looks like I may be adding a city or two from North Carolina and maybe a couple of other cities down south to the National Golden Snow Globe contest.
All I can say is it’s about time, Bring It On, and I am looking forward to it
One thing you need to remember is that the Golden Snow Globe contest is about listing the Top 25 snowiest cities in the US with a Population of 100,000 or more as of the 2010 Census. I try my best to keep the Top 25 snowiest Big cities updated as much as I can and keep in mind that sometimes it is changing by the minute
I also list a lot of other cities around the country just for Fun and to give us an idea of how much snow they are getting in those areas and States. I always keep the cities that are close to breaking into the Top 25 on the site along with cities that I think may have a chance at breaking into the Top 25.
So Yes, cities that aren’t in the Top 25 come and go during the snow season and any cities below the Top 25 may have less snow than another city that isn’t listed in the snow contest. I like to keep the list at around 40-50 which allows me to get more updates in each day.
OK, Some or most of you know I have been down in North Carolina hanging with my Grandson for awhile now. I have been missing the snow and I have only seen snowfall down here a handful of times. I’m looking forward to getting outside and playing in it with my Grandson. Of course, it also means that most of the area will be shut down if this snow does pan out.
The 1st time I saw snow down here it was around 3 inches give or take. Just enough to shut down the schools for 3-4 days. I never understood reading about it being from up north but Yes, it really does happen and Trust Me, they are smart to close everything down.
A Little Snow in South Like a Lot of Snow up North
It’s not like up north in Syracuse, Buffalo, Rochester, Erie or the Tug Hill area where we have plenty of plows and other equipment to help keep things running smooth or as smooth as possible anyways. I didn’t see a plow on our road that time everything shut down which means everything just gets packed down and sooner or later turns to pure ice. So to keep this short, most of the Meme’s you see are true about the south but for good reason
I guarantee that my daughter, her boyfriend, and friends will have the four wheelers and the RZR’s cranked up and playing in the snow too. They are always riding so the only difference is that it will be in snow instead of mud this time around
Here are a couple of snow maps showing a couple of possibilities including how much snow the National Weather Service is thinking will fall and another map of what has a chance of falling in parts of North Carolina with storm Helena.
Snow Totals Expected Now For NC From Friday, 7pm thru Saturday 7pm
Possible Snow Totals for Ralegh and other parts of North Carolina
Snow Map of Possible Snow Totals for Fri 7pm Thru Sat 7pm
For those of you visiting down here in North Carolina, listen to the news stations and stay off the roads. Trust me, it will be a whole different kind of driving then it is up north. Stay safe all and have a Great day.
Updated 7:00 PM – Buh Bye Rochester, NY and Hello Syracuse, NY
Syracuse took over the lead in the National snow contest as of the last update From the National Weather Service. Syracuse has set a date record for today reporting 12.5 inches so far and it’s still snowing. The new date record of 12.5 blows away the old record of 5.9 inches of snow set back in 1987.
So far Rochester is showing 3.3 inches for today closing in on the previous date record of 3.5 inches which was set way back in 1937. Below is the new Top 5 snowiest cities to date.
* Syracuse, NY – 19.1 inches
* Rochester, NY – 15.4 inches
* Billings, MT – 5.3 inches
* Sioux Falls, SD – 5.0 inches
* Anchorage, AK – 3.4 inches
Rochester, New York leads the national Golden Snow Globe contest after the new snow stats came out from the National Weather Service. For now, anyways, come on Cuse
We also have a Top 25 list as of the last update. I’m guessing there will be some more changes in the line-up when the next update comes out a little later this afternoon. Here are the current Top 5 snowiest cities in the United States with a population of 100,000 or more as of yesterday, 11/20/2016.
* Rochester, NY – 12.1 inches
* Syracuse, NY – 6.6 inches
* Billings, MT – 5.3 inches
* Sioux Falls, SD – 5.0 inches
* Anchorage, AK – 3.4 inches
It’s still snowing pretty good right now and there are several travel advisories ou so check with your NWS or local meteorologists for the latest weather reports.
Here is a recent look at the NWS radar at around 2:00 PM today. It looks like a mix of some pretty intense lake effect snow bands coming off of Lake Ontario
along with some snow falling still from the snow storm. Look how far south they are reaching.
The Winter snow storm that has been named Argos by TWC has been dropping a lot of snow in the Upstate and Central New York areas along with some pretty gusty winds. After reading around I am seeing some reports of snow totals approaching close to 3 feet of snow.
According to some tweets on Twitter and one by Carolyn Yerdon who keeps everyone up to date with the snow totals in Redfield, New York, they are up to about 32 inches and the snow is still falling.
Stay tuned for another update later this evening when the new snow stats are reported by our NWS As always, if you See Snow – Drive Slow! Of course, if you are on a sled, go for it! Have a Great Day everyone!
Updated 6/8 -I just want to give a Big Thanks to Michael Yates for your recent donation. Even though we are getting into the warm months, the donations still help out a lot in paying some of the bills Thanks Michael, I really appreciate you taking the time
Lakewood, Colorado Wins Golden Snow Globe Contest
Congratulations to Lakewood, Colorada for being the officially, unofficial snowiest big city in the United states for the 2015-2016 snow season. Believe it or not, any snow that falls up until June 30th still counts for the 2015-2016 snow season. I feel pretty confident calling the snow contest and the winner right now with Lakewood having over a foot of snow more than Syracuse, New York, and a 20+ inch lead over Fort Collins and Denver Colorado as of this posting. The only reason I waited this long to call it was because of the Colorado cities still having a chance for some snow. I will update the seasonal snow stats as/if needed.
Lakewood,Co received some decent late season snow that dropped more than enough snow to skate past the normal season favorite Syracuse, New York which held the lead a couple times this season. Lakewood also slipped past Erie, Pa, South Bend, Indiana, Flint, Michigan and Sioux Falls which were holding the top 5 spots on or around March 3rd. At that time, Lakewood was in 6th place, 20+ inches behind the leader then, Syracuse, New York.
Even though it was a mild winter for a lot of the cities this season the snow contest was pretty close and exciting once the snow finally did start falling. There were several lead changes throughout the 2015-2016 snow season and what made it fun was that it was a mix of cities on the top or near the top from all over the US. A couple that you wouldn’t expect including Lakewood, CO which as of right now has almost 40 inches of snow above their normal snowfall for the season compared to Syracuse, NY which has a snow deficit of over 40 inches this season. WTG Lakewood
How The 2015-2016 Snow Season Started
Anchorage, Alaska started off the 2015-2016 Golden Snow Globe contest when I did an update on September 30th. The National Weather Service was reporting 2.8 inches of snow and was the only city reporting measurable snowfall. A few others were showing just a trace of snow. Syracuse, NY was the next city to report some measurable snow on or around October 18th-19th, 2015.
Finally a Top 10 Snowiest City List
We finally had a Top 5 list for snowiest Big cities in the United States around November 6th and didn’t have a top 10 list until November 17th when there were 12 cities reporting measurable snowfall. Anchorage, Alaska was still in the lead with 9.6 inches of snow. Below is pretty much how this season played out as far as cities that led the snow contest at one time or another. Keep in mind that the National Weather Service updates the snow stats the next day for the previous day so the dates are give or take a day
Lead Changes in The 2015-2016 National Golden Snow Globe Contest
9/30 – Anchorage, Alaska started the 2015-2016 Golden Snow Globe contest on or around September 30th
12/15 – Lakewood, Colorado takes the lead with 24.0 inches of snow. Anchorage is in 2nd with 22.2 inches.
* NOTE – Come Christmas day, Reno, Nevada had 10.5 inches of snowfall. Reno is beating Erie, Pa which only has 4.8 inches. Rochester, NY has 1.2, Syracuse has 0.8 inches on Christmas day, Buffalo, NY is showing just a tenth of an inch and Worcester, MA is only reporting a trace of snow on the season. WOW! It gets better! Last season’s snow champs, Lowell, MA doesn’t even have a snowflake yet
12/29 – Sioux Falls, South Dakota takes the lead from Lakewood, CO with a snow total of 32.7 inches of snow on the season.
* NOTE – 1/15 – About Halfway through January the snow contest started getting more exciting with the Northeast cities finally starting to get into the snowball fight
1/20 – Erie, PA takes the lead from Sioux Falls, SD by two-tenths of an inch posting 42.3 inches. Sioux Falls has 42.1 inches of snow.
1/25 – Sioux Falls started packing the snowballs and took the lead back from Erie, Pa. Syracuse has been hanging in 3rd place just waiting to slide to the top on the snow mountain.
1/29 – Erie, PA takes slips back to the top with leading Sioux Falls by half an inch.
2/2 – While Erie and Sioux Falls were battling it out this season’s snow champs Lakewood, CO slipped past both of them by just over an inch of snow
2/10 – At this point in the snow season there was a lot of back and forth going on. Erie, PA slides to the top again!
2/14 – Yayyyy! Syracuse, NY finally climbed to the top of the snow mountain for the first time this season. Yeah, I’m from Syracuse so I can say Yayyyy
2/16 – OK, so much for my Yayyyy Erie, PA retakes the lead!
3/2 – Buh Bye Erie, Hello Syracuse
3/24 – Lakewood had more than enough time away from the top to make some snowballs and they put them to good use retaking the lead
4/3 – I was surprised that Syracuse got some decent snowfall in April to slip past Lakewood by almost 6 inches of snow come 4/4 and Syracuse was at 80.4 inches on the season. Well below their normal average but hey, seemed like enough. Us folks in Syracuse were pretty much ready to do a victory dance
4/17 – Lakewood gets pounded with snow on or around the 16th and 17 and picks up 16 inches of snow. No, really they did. Can you say snow season and contest over Lakewood sleds to the top of the Golden Snow Globe mountain and sets up camp. Ain’t no city gonna touch em after that. 16 inches of snow in April, you deserve to be crowned the snow champs for the snowiest big city in the United States. Way to go Lakewood, Colorado
5/24 – The funny part is that Lakewood and all of the Colorado cities continued to pile up snow after they got hammered by that storm. That was why I was a little hesitant to call the contest. I was waiting to see if Denver or Fort Collins, CO could catch Lakewood. With a 20+ inch lead right now I feel pretty confident that Lakewood will be the snowiest big city in the United States with a population of 100.000 or more. If something changes then the snow contest will go on. That said, Congrats Lakewood and well deserved We had 14 lead changes this season give or take a couple which isn’t too bad considering the lack of snow for a lot of cities.
It Was a Fun National Snow Contest This Season
So, all in all, this season’s national Golden Snow Globe contest for snowiest Big cities in the United States turned out to be a fun snow race and exciting too. It’s obviously all of you that visit the snow site and our Facebook snow group page that made it so much fun. A Big Thanks to all of you for helping to make the 2015-2016 snow season a blast. That also includes all of you news folks out there that wrote about the snow contest and also the Meteorologists who helped out by keeping us informed.
A special Thanks to those of you that were able to donate to the snow site. The donations help out a lot not to mention always keep me motivated, lol
Hope you all had fun. Feel Free to buy me a cold one
OK, really it helps me pay the bills through the Summer and just maybe a cocktail or two !
I’ll still be keeping an eye on the weather and if I hear of a city getting snow I’ll do an update. Keep in mind that as I mentioned above the snow season according to the National Weather Service runs from July 1st until June 30th. So in other words nothing is official until then
What City Was Winning Snow Contest This Time Last Season
I thought it would be fun to compare last season (2014-2015) with this snow season (2015-2016) to see how the cities are doing as we come down the home stretch You can compare the cities snow totals to date for both seasons in the chart below. Keep in mind there will be some new cities that were added this snow season just to mix it up and also some cities that were dropped.
I think there are two things that stand out the most. Number one being where the heck is Lowell, Massachusetts and the other MA cities this season? Lowell, MA is the defending National Big city snow champs from the 2014-2015 snow season. You will have to scroll down quite a bit to find Lowell this season as they are currently in 39th place right now. Lowell, MA has 88.7 inches less snow this season compared to last season at this time.
If you remember, last season it was a two-way tie between Worcester, Ma and Syracuse, NY at the end of the season when Mother Nature sneezed and gave Lowell just enough snow to win the Golden Snow Globe snow contest. Or maybe it was an adjustment, wink, wink Last season was as close as it could have gotten and was a lot of fun. I’m pretty sure we will have a different snow champ this season, no offense to those of you from Lowell but I don’t think there are enough snow storms left this season to make up 40+ inches of snow.
The second thing that stands out the most is the snow totals or should I say lack of snow totals. This could be the first season since starting the snow contest back in the 2009-2010 season that the winning city may have under 100 inches of snow. Syracuse, NY, the current leader is still almost 30 inches away from 100 inches as of this posting. WOW, what a wimpy snow season for a lot of cities so far. Yes, even though nice weather is taking over I don’t think we are quite done yet
Some Cities Way Below Last Seasons Snow Totals as of 3/6/2016
As always, Keep in mind my fuzzy math
Lowell, MA – Minus 88.7 Inches
Worcester, MA – Minus 83.9 Inches
Boston, MA – Minus 79.8 Inches
Buffalo, NY – Minus 60.8 Inches
Rochester, NY – Minus 59.7 Inches
Providence, RI – 54.1 Inches
Syracuse, NY – Minus 42 Inches
Erie, PA – Minus – 35.5 Inches
And the list goes on as you will see below. There are several cities that are doing a bit better than last season as you will also see below but nothing to really brag about. This season’s snow leaders are on the left and last season’s leaders on the right.
Compare This Snow Season To Last Season
Some of the Top 25 Snowiest
Cities in the United States 2015-2016 Snow Season Updated 3/7/2016
Updated 2/10 7:00 PM – Erie marches back to the Top of the snow mountain into the number 1 spot. Congrats Erie, for now anyways
I figured it was going to be kind of close looking at some snow stats a little earlier. I had a feeling Erie was going to get enough snow this morning and today to take the lead away from Lakewood, CO. The only thing I was concerned about was that I saw that Sioux Falls, SD was getting some snow and thought they may have had a shot at regaining the lead also in the snow contest
Stay Tuned and it will be interesting as to which city will come out on top come tomorrow
National Snowiest Big City In United States Contest
The Golden Snow Globe contest has really been starting to take shape the last week or two with many cities getting enough snow to have a shot at being the King of the Snow Mountain. The good news is that all of the Great Lakes are pretty much wide open which means Lake Effect snow for everyone Whether we like it or not there is still a lot of snow season left. Yeah, I know, be quiet huh
With the Great Lakes having little ice on them compared to an average winter season this is a good chance for some of the cities further down the list to start their comeback. Cities like Buffalo, NY have a good chance to move up quite a bit this week and I am guessing they will… And where is Rochester, NY this season and a few others. It’s time to join the snowball fight and have some fun
Great Lakes Ice Cover 2/9/2016
Erie, PA which was the King of the snow mountain not too long ago picked up just enough snow to climb their way into the number 3 spot yesterday. Snow is in the forecast for the next several days for a lot of the Golden Snow Globe cities and it will be interesting to see if/when we have a new King of the mountain. I’m guessing sooner rather than later.
Lakewood, Colorado still holds the lead in the National snow contest for Big cities (population of 100,000+) but only by 1.7 inches over second place Sioux Falls, South Dakota. Erie, PA is in 3rd, Fort Collins, CO is in a tie for 4th place right now with Syracuse, New York.
Several of the cities along the great lakes are under lake effect snow watches or warnings now. With the Artic air that is expected to move into the Northeast and other places in the US no doubt, some decent snow will be falling the next several days. It’s going to be fun watching the cities slip and slide up and down the snow mountain
A lot of us have been paying attention to the cities around Lake Ontario and Lake Erie but I think it’s time to keep an eye on a couple of the cities around Lake Michigan which is still wide open. South Bend, Indiana and Flint, Michigan come to mind and both cities broke into the Top 10 this last update. I was checking out the radar a little while ago and it looks like Lake Michigan’s lake effect snow machines are cranking out snow in full force right now.
Stay Tuned and Stay Safe All. As always, if You See Snow – Drive Slow! Have a great day
The Massettchusetts cities, Worcester, Boston and Lowell finally got some decent snow and Worcester was able to finally break into the Top 25 snowiest cities.
The national Golden Snow Globe contest for snowiest big cities is getting even more interesting now that some of the Northeast cities have come out to play. Sioux Falls, SD has been leading the snow contest for awhile now but some cold air has finally hit most of the North East.
For most of the 2015-2016 snow season, it’s been the cities in the Western United states and Mid US hanging near the top of the Golden Snow Globe mountain. The last several days the artci air has finally moved into the eastern have of the US bringing some decent snowfall to some of the cities that are normally camped out by now on top of the snow mountain.
Cities like Syracuse and Buffalo, NY, Erie, PA and Grand Rapids, MI have been camping at the bottom of the snow mountain up until the last few days. Most of those cities weren’t even in the top 30 just a couple of days ago. With the cold air moving in over the warmer than normal Great Lakes the Lake Effect Machines finally started to crank out some snow for the cities near the lakes.
The cities from MAssachuesettes seem to be staying out of the snowball fights so far this season though Last seasons snow champ Lowell, MA wasn’t even in the Top 50 as of the last update. Come on out and play Boston, Worcester and Lowell. You’ll have fun. Don’t count them out yet because I’m pretty sure that the snow storms that hit that neck of the woods last season didn’t start for at least another week or so. Plenty of time for them to play catch-up
No doubt this is going to be a fun snow contest now that most of the cities have come out to play in the snow. It will be interesting to see if the cities to the northeast can play catch up now. I’m pretty sure they are going to keep getting the snow for awhile but chances are so are the cities at the top.
It’s been a little quiet snow-wise in Sioux Falls the last week or so but Anchorage, Alaska just started adding new snow totals again, the Colorado cities seem to be adding a little every now and then and go figure, even some of the cities in Texas keep adding a little snowfall to their snow totals..
Lake Michigan has been cranking out some decent snowfall for the cities that rely on lake effect from that lake which I am guessing is still warmer than it normally is this time along with the other Great Lakes so stay tuned for a fun snow filled 2-3 months ahead.
Have a Great Day Everyone and as always, See Snow – Drive Slow
Snowvember, One Year Anniversary of Epic Snow in Buffalo – Surrounding Area
It all started one year ago, an epic snow event that hit parts of the Buffalo area and other surrounding Western New York cities. Below is a great look back that was sent to me by Richard Hulburd who lives in Hamburg, New York.
Richard sent me what it was like to be in the thick of the snow storm. He also sent some great information including the Buffalo National Weather Synopsis of the storm. Richard put together a great video that plays out the Snowvember snowstorm which includes some really cool pictures that he gathered from different sources as the snow was falling. A BIG Thanks Richard for taking the time. Everything below was put together by Richard Hulburd from Hamburg, NY.
November 2014 Lake Effect Snow Storm Video, Buffalo New York
Richard’s Story Lake Effect Snow Storm Buffalo, Hamburg, NY
I drove home from training right by the Airport on the 17th and on the way home the snow from the low-pressure system was just ended. The total from that storm was around an inch. After I got home the band really started to get going. I went to the gym and on the way home the roads were already getting bad. I always go lake effect chasing so decided to attempt to go out in it and see how strong the band was and to visit the Weather Channel who were in the town of Hamburg about 2 1/2 miles away. I got about a mile and decided to turn around. I have driven in some heavy snow, but this was something else. I could not see anything at all, literally… Between 9 and 1 am I received 18 inches of snow. The snow continued overnight as I went on several walks outside in the heart of the band.
The following day the band continued producing rates of 3-5 inches an hour on average. The total from round 1 at my location was 50″. Round 2 was not as intense as round one but still very strong. I went for several walks around Hamburg and posted videos on my Youtube channel for the entire duration of the event. I was in contact with several meteorologists’ from NBC, CNN, and The Weather Channel that used my Youtube videos to show others how crazy this event was. During round 2 I was able to go on the I90 New York State Thruway and walked down the middle of it. It was so awesome! It was a surreal scene with just the snow banks, snowfall rates, and the calmness that I felt as I walked there alone. It is something I will never forget!
As we walked around during the course of the event the people we met were in such good spirits despite what was going on. We saw loads of people walking back with beer and food and the store shelves were completely empty.
Towards the end of the event, I received some staggering snowfall rates of up to 6-7″ per hour. In total received 38.5″ from round 2 for a 3 day total of 88.5″ for the event. It was very difficult to keep accurate totals for this event, but I was in a prime location for the heaviest totals. Definitely an event that i will never forget and tell my grandkids about.
First Event November 17-18th 2014
The epic November 17-19th 2014 lake effect event will be remembered as one of the most significant winter events in Buffalo’s snowy history. Over 5 feet of snow fell over areas just east of Buffalo, with mere inches a few miles away to the north. There were 13 fatalities with this storm, hundreds of major roof collapses and structural failures, 1000s of stranded motorists, and scattered food and gas shortages due to impassable roads. Numerous trees also gave way due to the weight of the snow, causing isolated power outages. While this storm was impressive on its own, a second lake effect event on Nov-19-20 dropped another 1-4 feet of snow over nearly the same area and compounded rescue and recovery efforts. Storm totals from the two storms peaked at nearly 7 feet, with many areas buried under 3-4 feet of dense snowpack by the end of the event.
The storm began Monday around 6 PM evening (Nov 17) as a band of snow developed over the Buffalo Southtowns and quickly moved into the Northtowns with thunder and lightning. However, the band settled south fairly quickly…and by 9 PM the band had moved mostly just south of the city and airport and locked in place as the 15-20 mile wide band centered on a line from Lackawanna and Hamburg ENE across West Seneca, Lancaster, and Alden.
The northern edge of the lake effect band was so striking that many described it as a wall of snow. Snow rates on the northern edge easily exceeded 3 inches per hour with some snow rates near 6 inches per hour. By sunrise, some areas had already exceeded 3 feet of snow. This occurred in under 12 hours. Meanwhile, the southern edge of the band was located along the Lake Erie shoreline in Chautauqua County to near the Southtowns, including Orchard Park, East Aurora, and east into Wyoming county including Attica where about a foot of snow had fallen by sunrise. Travel across the Southtowns was nearly impossible with most roads unplowed as plows, at least those that weren’t stuck, focused a few main roadways needed for emergency vehicles. The Thruway was was shut down from the PA border to Rochester, and other routes, including 190, 290, and 400 were also shut down.
During Tuesday, November 18, the snow band didn’t budge, and by nightfall snow amounts from Lancaster to Southern Cheektowaga east to Alden had accumulated in excess of 4 to 5 feet by the end of the day. The wall of snow was still quite apparent with blue skies to the north and zero visibility on the other side. On Transit Road, there were only a few inches on the ground at Genesee Street, but several feet of snow at Walden Avenue less than 2 miles to the south. Winds gusted to 35 mph…and briefly gusted higher along the edges of the band…but in general winds created sub-blizzard conditions. There were still whiteout conditions however as snow continued to fall in excess of 3 inches per hour.
The band began to waver a little to the south Tuesday night…but overall continued in a slightly weaker state over the southtowns. Finally, the band let up as it drifted to the north and weakened rapidly Wednesday morning.
East of Lake Ontario, a lake band developed south of Watertown Monday night, then drifted north across the city and ENE to Harrisville. This band produced stronger winds than its Lake Erie counterpart, with gusts mostly in the 40-50 mph range with a peak gust to 55 mph at Watertown, producing blizzard conditions at times. By Tuesday night the band settled south over the Tug Hill Plateau, then quickly moved north Wednesday morning. Storm totals were highly variable, with snow amounts generally ranging between 1-2 feet in the hardest hit areas.
A very favorable climatological pattern for heavy lake effect snow was in place over the lower Great Lakes Wednesday and Thursday, Nov 19 and 20, as a deep closed H5 low was centered near the Michigan Straits while anomalously cold air was over the upper Ohio Valley and Mid West. At the surface, low pressure over the Upper Great Lakes Wednesday afternoon tracked across Southern Ontario to the Ottawa Valley by Thursday morning… then to the St Lawrence Valley by Thursday evening. This synoptic pattern circulated H85 temps of -14c across the lower Great Lakes to produce moderate to extreme instability over the relatively mild lake waters. The building instability was accompanied by a capping inversion that rose from around 7k feet at the start of the event to around 15k feet at its peak. This was all very conducive for the second straight lake effect event in less than 48 hours.
Starting with the activity off Lake Erie
Lake effect snow blossomed over Eastern Lake Erie and Southern Ontario Wednesday evening on a 220 flow. Cloud to ground lightning was noted near Long Point near the onset of the activity. As the cold air deepened and low level winds veered to 240, the lake band pivoted east and aligned itself with Lake Erie, allowing it to take full advantage of heat and moisture fluxes from the full fetch of the lake. The somewhat cellular band intensified into a solid plume of moderate to heavy lake snow, producing more thundersnow (in the Buffalo area) process. In the vicinity of the lightning, dual pol imagery depicted a wealth of graupel around 4k feet (nr -10c), which just happened to be in the heart of the mixed phase portion of the lake cloud. The band temporarily settled south to the Chautauqua County lake shore to the Buffalo Southtown’s to Southern Genesee County by midnight…very close to the where the momentous lake snow storm took place 24 to 48 hours earlier.
During the overnight, the band drifted back north to the Buffalo metropolitan area with enhanced cells producing another round of thunder snow. Unlike the epic event of the previous couple days, this snow band oscillated back and forth for the remainder of the event…drifting south by daybreak across Southern Erie County (about 10 miles south of the heaviest snow from the previous storm) and extending across Wyoming County before arching back to the north to the immediate southern suburbs of Buffalo for a couple hours Thursday afternoon.
The lake band was very well organized from late Wednesday night through much of Thursday, with IR satellite imagery indicating that there were abundant overshooting tops within the bands where some cloud tops (-35C) exceeded the cap by some 5k ft. The intensity of the band was also evident from the 2 to 4 inch per hour snowfall rates. This enabled the event to produce snowfall amounts of up to 4 feet across parts of Southern Erie County and Wyoming County. The moderate to heavy snow extended east across Livingston and Ontario counties as well…with accumulations approaching a foot over northern Livingston County. After the passage of a couple of reinforcing secondary cold fronts late Thursday afternoon and evening, the low level flow veered to the northwest, and this pushed the lake snows into the southern tier where increased shear and a shorter fetch broke the solid plume of snow into multiple bands. Snowfall amounts across the Western Southern Tier generally ranged from 6 to 12 inches with slightly higher amounts over the hilltops.
Off Lake Ontario
As is usually the case, the lake effect snow was 3 to 6 hours later in developing than that off Lake Erie. The band initially started over Kingston and parts of southern Quebec shortly after midnight Wednesday night, then as the 220 flow veered to 240 during the wee hours of the morning, the band shifted south and east across Jefferson County. By daybreak Thursday, twin bands of moderate to heavy snow were found east of Lake Ontario, with one centered over northernmost Jefferson County and the other over the northern slopes of the Tug Hill and northern Lewis County. As the southern band pushed south off the lake during the course of Thursday morning, the northern band drifted south to the northern slopes of the Tug Hill (southern Jefferson County to northern Lewis) where it remained nearly stationary through the course of the afternoon. Unlike the plume of heavy snow off Lake Erie, there was only limited lightning generated from the band off Lake Ontario, and that came over the Tug Hill Plateau. There is a suggestion that this lightning may have had some help from the orographic lift, as there was no lightning with the band when it was north or south of the Tug Hill.
A solid band of heavy lake snow was found over the Tug Hill Thursday evening, then the activity drifted south across Oswego and southernmost Lewis County during the remainder of the night. Snowfall rates of 2 to 4 inches an hour helped to produce an average of a foot to a foot and half of snow within this band leading up to daybreak Friday…at which point the lake effect had weakened and become multi band in nature over Oswego and Northern Cayuga counties. The lake effect remained multi band in nature Southeast of Lake Ontario through midday Friday while continuing to weaken to nuisance lake streamers. Little additional snow accumulations were reported during the daylight hours Friday.
Snow Off Lake Erie
49.0 inches… Wales Center
48.0 inches… Marilla
47.5 inches… East Aurora
40.6 inches… Wyoming
10.7 inches… Buffalo airport
From a climatological perspective, the storm had signs of an unprecedented event early on, with historical analogs and climatological ensembles pointing to a rare if ever seen event over a 30 year climatology. 500 mb temperatures eventually dropped to -42C on the KBUF sounding Tuesday evening. With lake temperatures around 9C, lake induced equilibrium levels exceeded the 500mb level and maxed out near 20000’. Further up in the atmospheric column, the 200mb heights were lower than anything in recent memory. The more traditional 850mb temperature value of -15C was also on the lower edge of the climatological spectrum. From pattern recognition, this was a high confidence event…with “feet” of snow in the forecast over four days in advance. Data from the Saint Louis University CIPS (Cooperative Institute for Precipitation Systems) showed several analogs that matched 24 hour record snow events for Buffalo. Locally generated climatological analogs also showed that this event fit the bill for a significant event. The office had 56 hours lead time on a Lake Effect Watch and 32 hours lead time on a Warning. The office mentioned 3-5 inches per hour in the Warning prior to the start of the event and mentioned 2-3 feet forecast with additional significant amounts with the next event later in the week. Travel was forecast to become nearly impossible.
On a side note, this has happened before. During December 14-18, 1945. The airport measured nearly 37 inches with in excess of 70 inches just 4-6 miles south (Lancaster).
Lowell, Ma, Winner of The National Golden Snow Globe Contest
Congratulations to Lowell, Massachusetts and to the fine folks in Lowell on being the snowiest Big city in the united states for the 2014-2015 snow season. This has by far been the closest snow contest since it began several seasons back. Less than an inch separates the top 3 cities in the Golden Snow Globe contest.
It was looking like the contest was going to end up in a tie between Worcester, Ma and Syracuse, NY for awhile but Lowell managed to pull it off beating both Syracuse and Worcester by only 0.9 of an inch. Syracuse and Worcester both ended the snow season with 119.7 inches of snowfall.
Lowell, Ma deserves the bragging rights after setting their all-time seasonal snow record of 111.5 inches that dated back to the 1947-1948 season according to the National Weather Service website. Unless it snow tonight Lowell has set their all time seasonal record with 120.6 inches this season, 2014-2015. Way to go Lowell!
I was going to drag out the contest a little longer but figured Nah. OK, today is the last day of the 2014-2015 snow season believe it or not. Really!!! The new 2015-2016 snow season starts tomorrow, July 1st I have never waited this long to call the National snow contest but being the Sissyman that I am I was a little worried with it being sooo close and that perhaps some corrections would be made by the National Weather Service that I decided to hold off. I did call both National Weather Service office’s that handle Lowell, Worcester and Syracuse to make sure it was safe and both said to call it and both said it was.
I will do a more detailed summary when I have a little more time in the next few days. Once again Congrats to all of you in Lowell, Ma. It’s been a really fun season as always
First as always I want to give a Big Thanks to John A. for your recent donation to the snow site and to all of you that have donated throughout the season. I really appreciate you taking the time and it helps out a lot
Congrats to Lowell, Massachusetts on taking the lead in the National snow contest. Yup, you read it right and Lowell is the new leader right now in the 2014-2015 Golden Snow Globe snowiest Big city in the US contest.
Contrary to what you may have read in a few articles, the snow contest goes on like it or not until the last snow flake falls . Yes, the National snow contest is still going on and while you all have been enjoying the warm weather I am still sitting at the computer crunching numbers. OK, not really and I am enjoying the nice weather but I do check the snow stats every now and then.
I’ve have been checking the snow stats every now and then and for whatever reason had a feeling that Lowell was going to have some kind of adjustment to their snow totals. This happens with a lot of the cities throughout the snow season and adjustments were made a few times this season with Lowell, Ma.. I’m pretty sure it hasn’t been snowing there so no doubt adjustments were made.
I took a look back to see if I could tell when the adjustments were made. The best I could come up with is that perhaps snow was added for the dates of March 22nd and March 29th. On March 22nd Lowell shows 1.5 inches of snow and on March 29th there is 0.5 inches being reported. Tha would add up to the 2.0 inches of new snow that must have been added to Lowell’s snow totals.
Syracuse, NY and Worcester, Ma were in a tie for the top spot in the snow contest up until this last update. I don’t think Syracuse and Worcester natives are going to be happy campers getting bumped down a spot after camping out on top of the snow mountain together since around April 24th.
Frost is on the forecast for tonight in parts of the North East and it will be interesting to see if any of the cities can throw in some snow while it’s that cold. Hard to believe that some of the cities are going from 80+-degree weather to maybe below freezing in a matter of a day or two.
Will there be anymore adjustment or snow falling? Stay Tuned, The Snow Contest Lives and Congrats to Lowell on Taking the Lead
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