For the New York State forecast, I predicted that all five Golden Snowball cities would be within 5 degrees of their average high temperatures on either Sunday or Monday. The table below shows the high temperatures, as reported by the National Weather Service.
|New York State High Temperatures|
|City||Sunday Average/Reported||Monday Average/Reported|
|GSB Cities with temperatures within 5 degrees of average: 5|
All five were within 5 degrees on Monday, so the forecast is correct. Syracuse was the only one to not be within 5 on both days as Sunday’s high was 6 below average. Rochester was spot on for Sunday, as their high temperature was exactly the average temperature of 34.
For the World forecast, I believed that at least 2 of the 6 big cities of Illinois, Kansas and Missouri would have at least a half inch of snow total for Sunday and Monday. Below is a table showing snowfall for each day as reported by the National Weather Service.
|Illinois, Kansas, Missouri Snowfall|
|Cities with half an inch or more total: 4|
|Kansas City, MO||5.1||None|
|St. Louis, MO||None||None|
Four out of the six cities had over a half of an inch, so this is correct. St. Louis was the only city to not have snow on either day but most of the others went over the 0.5 inch total on one day. In fact, Kansas City’s 5.1 inches on February 21st broke their previous record of 3.6 set in 1997.
It seems to me that I keep lowballing snowfall amounts this season. That’ll be something for me to work on in the future.
|Golden SnowCast Results|
Another 2 for 2 week and the percentage is almost 1.5% away from the goal. If the next two week’s forecasts are correct, 90% will be reached. I’d like to get the next forecast up by tomorrow. Unfortunately, work and online class kept me busy earlier this week so I couldn’t do a forecast for the current snow storm in New York State.
Have a great end to the week everyone, and remember snow means SLOW!