I wanted to get these forecasts done on Friday, but there were some difficulties, which will be explained in a little bit. This forecast goes a little bit east of the last one, focusing on Montana, Utah and Wyoming.
Before we get into that, it’s the results from the last one. Unfortunately, when I checked for Reno’s stats, snowfall data was missing for Wednesday and Thursday, the 2 days involved in the forecast. That is the problem with verifying forecasts, sometimes results aren’t available as quickly as one would like. The Reno stats are available now, so the next forecast is coming up soon. The delay doesn’t have too big of an impact here, but it made the forecast over on Golden Snowball a little bit harder on me.
Now that is out of the way, here are the snowfall totals for Reno, NV and Salt Lake City, UT for Wednesday and Thursday.
Salt Lake City: 3.7
Bull’s Eye: Reno and Salt Lake City total 2-4 inches of snow for Wednesday and Thursday.
On Target: Only Reno totals 2-4 inches of snow for Wednesday and Thursday.
Complete Miss: Reno’s snowfall total is outside of the 2-4 inch range.
Both were in range, so that is a Bull’s Eye. Interesting that both were 0.3 inches away from the end points of the range.
Here are the updated results for the season, combined with the Golden Snowball site.
|Point Blank Range Forecasts Results|
|Region||Bull’s Eye||On Target||Complete Miss||Points|
A pretty solid week for me, as the GSB forecast was On Target, and I’m back to the 1.00 average. That is exactly the goal set at the beginning of the season. We’ve reached the halfway point for the forecasts, and I’d like to have it all wrapped up at the end of March.
Now on to this forecast, which, as mentioned previously, focuses on Montana, Utah and Wyoming. I’ll be using Salt Lake City, Billings and Cheyenne from each of their respective states. The snow storm currently out west will be moving east, and as a result, I expect these cities to get 1-4 inches over the next few days.
Bull’s Eye: All 3 cities have 1-4 inches of snow.
On Target: 2 of the 3 cities have 1-4 inches of snow.
Complete Miss: 1 or 0 of the 3 cities has 1-4 inches of snow.
Be sure to check out the GSB forecast update as well. Have a great rest of the week everyone!