For the New York State forecast, I had two predictions involving high temperatures for the Golden Snowball cities on either Thursday or Friday. All of them were to be at least 5 degrees over, and one of them would be 10 or more above, average. The table below shows Thursday and Friday’s average and recorded highs, according to the National Weather Service.
| New York State High Temperatures | ||
|---|---|---|
| City | Thursday Average/Recorded | Friday Average/Recorded |
| GSB Cities with high temperatures 10 above average: 5 | ||
| Albany | 42/51 | 43/53 |
| Binghamton | 39/57 | 39/45 |
| Buffalo | 41/61 | 41/54 |
| Rochester | 41/61 | 41/51 |
| Syracuse | 41/57 | 42/50 |
Turns out, they all reached 10+ above average on at least one day, so the forecast is correct. In most cities, the difference decreased on Friday, Albany’s was the only one to increase. Buffalo and Rochester were both 20 above average on Thursday. A very mild couple of days indeed.
For the World forecast, I believed that on either Thursday or Friday, at least one of five selected cities in Maryland and Pennsylvania would have at least a half of an inch of rain. The table below shows precipitation amounts according to the National Weather Service.
| Maryland and Pennsylvania Rainfall | ||
|---|---|---|
| City | Thursday | Friday |
| Cities with .5 inches of rain or more: 2 | ||
| Allentown, PA | None | 0.28 |
| Baltimore, MD | None | 0.98 |
| Erie, PA | None | 0.03 |
| Philadelphia, PA | Trace | 0.54 |
| Pittsburgh, PA | 0.02 | 0.24 |
Baltimore and Philadelphia surpassed the 0.5 mark on Friday, so the forecast is correct. Only Pittsburgh had measurable precipitation on Thursday, while Erie had just a few hundredths of an inch on Friday. For most of the cities highlighted, it was a very wet way to end the work week.
| Golden SnowCast Results | ||
|---|---|---|
| Region | Record | Percentage |
| Overall | 26-4 | 86.67% |
| NYS | 13-2 | 86.67% |
| World | 13-2 | 86.67% |
Both forecasts are correct, and the quest for 90% remains in tact. The next 5 weeks need to be prefect to get to the milestone I set at the beginning of the season. The past five forecasts were almost perfect, going 9 for 10. The forecast 14′s snowfall prediction for southern New England brought the 2nd miss on the World side. The only truly terrible outlook remains forecast 4′s snowfall amounts for Pennsylvania.
Happy pi Day everyone!
