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All posts for the month January, 2011

It’s snowing or at least was in South Bend, Indiana and they moved up the snow mountain big time. Cory dropped a post about the snow and sure enough they are closing in on Syracuse, New York. Hopefully it is still snowing there and they will close the snowflake gap even more. Just light snow in the Syracuse area right now but they are under an advisory which could keep things interesting.

Rochester and the rest of the pack dropped down the snow hill a spot with the record snow that South Bend picked up. They set a date record yesterday with 26 inches of the fresh white stuff blowing away the old record set in 1978 with 7.9 inches of snow. Myself, being from Syracuse, I’m loving the fact that the snow contest is finally getting close. WTG South Bend and there is still a ton of time left for some of the other cities to make a move……

Just a storm or two and hopefully there will be several other cities closing in. Have a Great Week All :)

Before I get into the first Point Blank Range Forecast of the season, I figured I’d mention what the PBR Forecast is. Basically, a PBR is the exact opposite of the Shot In The Dark forecast in that research has been done while making the forecast, though sometimes it can be from a gut feeling. I also try to keep it from being like a typical forecast that is seen on TV or on other websites.

This edition focuses on Pennsylvania, where some snowfall is expected over the weekend. It won’t be nearly as much as the blizzard produced, but the major PA cities should see a couple of inches of snow.

Bull’s Eye: Allentown, Erie, Philadelphia and Pittsburgh each have snowfall totals between 1-4 inches for the weekend.
On Target: Three of the four have snowfall totals between 1-4 inches for the weekend.
Complete Miss: Any other outcome.

As always, check the Golden Snowball website to see the GSB forecast for the weekend.

It has been a quiet time in the Northeast to start 2011, but I have a feeling that will change. That is all a Shot In The Dark forecast is based on, so it seems appropriate to use the Northeast in the January 2011 edition.

The end of December featured the blizzard that put several areas in a standstill. I am expecting a similar type of event in January for Boston, New York City and Philadelphia.

Bull’s Eye: Boston, New York City and Philadelphia each have one day with at least a foot of snowfall in January.
On Target: 2 of the 3 have one day with at least a foot of snowfall in January.
Complete Miss: 1 or none have one day with at least a foot of snowfall in January.

To clarify, each city needs one day, but they do not all have to be the same day. For example, if Boston has a foot of snow on the 15th, and NYC and Philly have a foot of snow on the 26th, that would be a Bull’s Eye forecast.

Be sure to check the Golden Snowball site to see the GSB forecast.

So much for getting the forecasts up by New Year’s. Basically, Shot In the Dark forecasts are a gut reaction, with little to no research involved in the outlook. The seasonal forecast is perhaps the biggest gut reaction of them all, as they involve results about three months away from now.

This time, the Golden Snow Globe SITD focuses on the standings at the end of the season. While the Colorado cities have not had a great showing in the latest rankings, as the highest is Fort Collins at 48th, I do believe at least one major Colorado city will be in the top 10 in mid May, when the contest comes to a close.

Bull’s Eye: At least one major Colorado city will be in the top 5 in mid May.
On Target: At least one major Colorado city will be in the top 10 in mid May.
Complete Miss: All major Colorado cities are out of the top 10 in mid May.

Check out the Golden Snowball site to see the GSB Winter 2011 Forecast.