It’s March, and the top of the standings show a complete lack of Colorado cities. So, this month’s forecast will focus on them. Before that happens, though, it’s a look back at the February prediction.
February’s forecast involved the Midwest, comparing the rest of the month with the first two days. Below are the totals for the five cities in the final 26 days, with the first 2 days in parenthesis.
Chicago: 8.8 (20.2)
Detroit: 21.1 (10.6)
Kansas City: 7.3 (8.9)
Madison: 9.5 (14.3)
Milwaukee: 12.0 (17.6)
Bull’s Eye: Snowfall totals for the first 2 days of February will be more than the rest of the month for all five cities.
On Target: Snowfall totals for the first 2 days of February will be more than the rest of the month for three or four of the cities.
Complete Miss: Snowfall totals for the first 2 days of February will be more than the rest of the month for two or fewer of the cities.
Detroit was the only one to have more snow in the final 26 days of February than the first 2, so it is an On Target forecast.
Here are the results, combined with the Golden Snowball site.
| Shot In The Dark Forecasts Results | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Bull’s Eye | On Target | Complete Miss | Points |
| Average: 1.25 | ||||
| GSB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| GSG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Total | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
The GSG forecast was a Bull’s Eye, so as a result, the average sits at 1.25, above the goal set before the forecasts began. My intention at the beginning of the season was to make March the final SITD forecast. However, the new plan is to have this one go for the month, and in a few weeks I will post the final one. This would give me 5 forecast periods, including the one done to start the season.
Now on to this month, which focuses on Colorado. Three cities, Colorado Springs, Denver and Pueblo, are below their average snowfall for the season. While I don’t expect that to change by the end of the month, I do anticipate above average snowfall for them for March.
Bull’s Eye: All three cities have above average snowfall for March.
On Target: Two of the cities have above average snowfall for March.
Complete Miss: One or none of the cities have above average snowfall for March.
Here are the average snowfall marks for each city.
Colorado Springs: 9.4
Denver: 11.7
Pueblo: 6.4
Remember to check out Golden Snowball to see the March forecast there. Have a great month everyone!
