In the New York State prediction, I believed that all of the Golden Snowball cities would have below average high temperatures on either Saturday or Sunday. The table below shows the National Weather Service’s high temperature data for both days.
| New York State High Temperatures | ||
|---|---|---|
| City | Saturday Average/Recorded | Sunday Average/Recorded |
| GSB Cities with below average temperatures: 5 | ||
| Albany | 58/49 | 58/53 |
| Binghamton | 54/50 | 54/49 |
| Buffalo | 55/43 | 55/53 |
| Rochester | 56/46 | 56/56 |
| Syracuse | 56/49 | 57/55 |
All five were below average on Saturday, so the forecast is correct. Rochester was the only one to not be below average on both days, hitting average exactly on Sunday. Most cities were warmer on Sunday than Saturday, only Binghamton had cooler Sunday high temperatures than Saturday’s.
In the World forecast, I believed that a majority of the southern New England reporting stations would total a half an inch of rain or more from Friday through Sunday. The table below shows the daily precipitation amounts for each city, as reported by the National Weather Service.
| Southern New England Rainfall | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| City | Friday | Saturday | Sunday |
| Cities with 0.5 inches or more total: 3 | |||
| Boston, MA | 0.39 | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| Bridgeport, CT | 0.25 | 0.11 | None |
| Hartford, CT | 0.47 | 0.02 | Trace |
| Providence, RI | 0.41 | 0.11 | Trace |
| Worcester, MA | 0.36 | 0.21 | Trace |
Boston, Providence and Worcester total over 0.5, so the forecast is correct. Both Connecticut cities were under the mark. All of the cities had the majority of the rainfall on Friday and Boston was the only city to get measurable precipitation on Sunday.
| Golden SnowCast Results | ||
|---|---|---|
| Region | Record | Percentage |
| Overall | 36-4 | 90% |
| NYS | 18-2 | 90% |
| World | 18-2 | 90% |
It took all 20, but the 90% mark has been met! Both the NYS and World forecasts finished 18-2, and the worst forecast of the season was snowfall for Pennsylvania back in forecast 4. Only one forecast batch went 0-2, which also happens to be forecast 4. The other 2 misses were forecast 1′s NYS outlook and forecast 14′s World prediction. I’m looking forward to next season, as there are some changes on the way.
Have a great week everyone!
