An Update Coming Soon! We are updating all the city snow totals today so check back later to see who is winning and how your city is doing.
OK, On January 18th, an anonymous poster on the Golden Snowball site wanted to know on what date a majority of the GSB cities would have 4 more inches of snow than the given date. While out of my league, I went for it. My target date was February 1st, but I gave myself a 3 day window. So, if the day when at least 3 of the 5 GSB cities had 4 more inches than on January 19th was between January 29 and February 4th, that would have been a win for me.
Since I’m giving the outcome before that window, and that it’s the only one in Volume 1, it’s pretty clear what the outcome of the forecast is.
Golden Snowball Snow Totals | ||
---|---|---|
City | Afternoon January 19 | Afternoon January 28 |
Forecast outcome: STUMPED | ||
Albany | 19.8 | 20.2 |
Binghamton | 39.3 | 40.5 |
Buffalo | 48.7 | 59.8 |
Rochester | 47.9 | 52.5 |
Syracuse | 58.2 | 63.0 |
Yes, I missed it by 1 day. That is some of the difficulty with long range forecasts such as this. I’m actually somewhat surprised my range ended up being as close as it was. But close is not good enough here.
Congratulations, anonymous poster, you stumped the weather chump!
Stump the Weather Chump Forecasts | |
---|---|
Outcome | Total |
Stump Rate: 100% | |
Stumped | 1 |
Not Stumped | 0 |
If you believe you can Stump the Weather Chump like the anonymous poster did, leave a comment for the region and element you want predicted along with any other details you want to give. Try to keep it something that is closer to my range (2-3 days preferred), but I will be as flexible as possible with all requests. More details are available here.
Well I’m pretty impressed PSUSyr5 seeing how it was a pretty long range forecast. Nice try, ummmm Chump