With the silliness that comes with the start of April out of the way (yes, the last post was an April Fool’s Day joke!), it’s time to see just how much of a joke this season’s Point Blank Range Forecasts were.
To start, it’s a look at the final forecast of the season: temperatures with the 5 biggest U.S. cities. Below are the coldest lows for Los Angeles and Houston, and the warmest highs for Chicago, New York City and Philadelphia.
Los Angeles: 50
Houston: 55
Chicago: 45
New York City: 53
Philadelphia: 52
Bull’s Eye: Los Angeles and Houston’s coldest lows will be warmer than New York City, Chicago and Philadelphia’s warmest highs.
On Target: Los Angeles and Houston’s coldest lows will be warmer than 2 of the three warmest highs.
Complete Miss: Any other result.
This is an On Target forecast. But was it enough to reach the 1.00 goal?
| Point Blank Range Forecasts Results | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Bull’s Eye | On Target | Complete Miss | Points |
| Average: 0.90 | ||||
| GSB | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| GSG | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| Total | 4 | 10 | 6 | 18 |
No! It was the Golden Snowball forecasts that did me in this season, as of the 10 forecasts, only 1 was a Bull’s Eye while 5 earned the Complete Miss designation. The forecasts here were almost the exact opposite: 1 was a Complete Miss while 3 were in the Bull’s Eye category. For the grand total, it’s 18 points out of 20 forecasts, a 0.90 average.
So, the goal for next season will be the same as this season: 1.00 or better.
Tomorrow, I will try to get the Shot In The Dark Forecast results in for March. The SITD have 2 forecasts waiting for verification: the April outlook and the one done back in January for the entire Winter season. I’ll try to get the full SITD wrap up done in the next few weeks.
Have a great week everyone!
