Before I get into this forecast, one quick announcement. I have decided to reduce this season’s forecasts to 8 PBR and 4 SITD forecasts. That means this will be the last PBR and the March outlook is the last SITD.
With that out of the way, let’s check how the last forecast fared, which involved Billings, MT, Boise, ID, Denver, CO, Cheyenne, WY and Salt Lake City, UT. That prediction had a 2 day range from a trace to 3 inches for March 6th and 7th. If all 5 were in range, that’s a Bull’s Eye. On Target would be a majority. Here are the totals:
Billings, MT: 1.2
Boise, ID: 0.3
Denver, CO: Trace
Cheyenne, WY: None
Salt Lake City, UT: 2.0
Four out of five were in range, so that is On Target!
GSG Forecast Results | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | Bull’s Eye | On Target | Complete Miss | Points |
Average: 0.62 | ||||
SITD | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
PBR | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
That moves the average up slightly, but still well below the 1.00 goal set at the beginning of the season. In fact, even if both this and the March SITD forecasts are Bull’s Eye results, I will fall below the threshold.
Now on to the final forecast of the season, which focuses on Flagstaff, AZ. While not quite big enough to be in the GSG standings, they do get a good amount of snow, and I wanted to include them in some capacity. So, here it is…
Bull’s Eye Flagstaff will have at least 16 inches of snow by the end of Monday.
On Target Flagstaff will have at least a foot of snow by the end of Monday.
Complete Miss Any other result.
Enjoy your St. Patrick’s Day weekend everyone!