For the New York State prediction, I stated that at least 2 of the Golden Snowball cities would have some frozen precipitation on either Friday or Saturday. The table below shows which cities had frozen precipitation, according to the National Weather Service.
New York State Frozen Precipitation | ||
---|---|---|
City | Friday | Saturday |
GSB Cities with frozen precipitation: 5 | ||
Albany | No | Yes |
Binghamton | Yes | Yes |
Buffalo | Yes | Yes |
Rochester | Yes | No |
Syracuse | Yes | Yes |
Turns out that all five did, none of which had measurable frozen precipitation. The number is not what mattered, just if it was there, so the forecast is correct. Three of them, Binghamton, Buffalo and Syracuse, had frozen precipitation on both days.
For the World forecast, I believed that a majority of the Nevada reporting stations would have lows within 5 degrees of average on either Friday or Saturday. The table below show the National Weather Service’s reported low temperatures.
Nevada Low Temperatures | ||
---|---|---|
City | Friday Average/Reported | Saturday Average/Reported |
Nevada Cities with low temperatures within 5 degrees of average: 7 | ||
Elko | 29/24 | 29/29 |
Ely | 25/26 | 25/25 |
Eureka | 24/25 | 24/24 |
Las Vegas | 52/51 | 52/61 |
Reno | 32/36 | 32/41 |
Tonopah | 33/35 | 33/35 |
Winnemucca | 29/27 | 29/34 |
All seven had at least one day with low temperatures within five degrees of average, so the forecast is correct. Las Vegas and Reno were the only two not to have that occur on both days. Elko, Ely and Eureka were spot on with average on Saturday.
Golden SnowCast Results | ||
---|---|---|
Region | Record | Percentage |
Overall | 34-4 | 89.47% |
NYS | 17-2 | 89.47% |
World | 17-2 | 89.47% |
Another 2 for 2 week, and 90% is still possible going into the final batch of the season. Both NYS and World forecasts must be correct for the target to be met. A new scoring system will likely be in place next year. I believe I mentioned that earlier.
Have a great week everyone!