OK, For the New York State prediction, I believed that a majority of the Golden Snowball cities would have temperatures below freezing on Monday. As a side note, I was torn between “freezing” and “average” and went with freezing to give myself a little more leeway. The table below shows the reported high temperature and the average high temperature for February 1st.

As it turns out, it didn’t matter which comparison I used, average or freezing. All five cities were below their average highs, which also means all five were below freezing. Only Binghamton was within one degree of their average high. All the others were at least 4 below average.

For the World forecast, I said that at least 3 of the 5 bigger cities in Iowa and Nebraska would get measurable snowfall on Monday. The table below shows the reported snowfall on Monday and compares it to last year.

This one proved to be true. Cedar Rapids’ missing data does not come into play as the other 4 received measurable snowfall. Interesting that last year, the Nebraska cities were the only ones to get any snowfall, and this year the Iowa cities that have data are the 2 that report over an inch.

Another 2 for 2 week and the percentage is at 85%. The past 5 weeks ended up being perfect, going 10 for 10 in that time period. The only truly terrible forecast remains the Pennsylvania snow prediction from Week 4. That also happens to be the only miss on the World side. On the NYS side, the 2 misses were from Week 1, as Binghamton ruined the all cities with no measurable snow forecast, and Week 4 with only 2 cities matching the target. The other forecasts were either correct, even if the threshold was a little off the mark.

Have a great rest of the week everyone!

A majority of Golden Snowball cities will have high temperatures below freezing on Monday.

New York State started the work week with temperatures in the 50s, but it’s a much different story this time. The Golden Snowball cities have been in a big chill for the past few days. While that will ease somewhat on Monday, temperatures will still be below freezing. A correct forecast will have at least 3 of the 5 GSB cities below 32 degrees on Monday.

For the World forecast, it’s a look at part of the plain states. But don’t worry, they are trying to redecorate. Poor attempt a humor, my apologies.

At least half of the five biggest cities in Iowa and Nebraska will receive measurable snowfall on Monday.

The five cities used for verification will be Cedar Rapids, Des Moines and Davenport in Iowa and Nebraska’s Lincoln and Omaha. At least 3 of them need to have a tenth of an inch or more of snowfall for the forecast to be correct.

Have a great weekend everyone!